Relationship & Causation: The couple One Wasn’t
“But determine cause and effect, you need to make sure easy relationship, not enticing it can be, is not confused with a reason. In the 90s, the newest stork population inside the Germany increased while the Italian language at-house delivery rates rose too. Will i borrowing storks to own airlifting this new babies?”
One of the very first principles out-of analytics are: relationship is not causation. Relationship anywhere between variables suggests a pattern in the study and therefore this type of variables commonly ‘move together’. It is rather prominent to acquire reputable correlations for 2 variables, just to realize that they may not be after all causally linked.
Capture, for example, the latest ice-cream-murder fallacy. It theory attempts to introduce a relationship anywhere between growing transformation regarding ice products on price from homicides. Very can we blame the latest harmless frozen dessert to have enhanced offense prices? Read More
